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We feel that near term price action will focus on further downside (higher Austin mortgage rates/worse pricing) as we have yet to find a bottom

We feel that near term price action will focus on further downside (higher Austin mortgage rates/worse pricing) as we have yet to find a bottom. If there is a ray of hope, it will be that the 10 year note can hold at or below 2.95% (currently 2.93%). Best bet for Texas mortgage borrowers is to stay defensive. Before the market picks your pocket, lock your mortgage loans with the float down option ("option to lower your interest rate one time")!

Caution is advised to Austin mortgage borrowers!

Overall, we do not see that the fundamental economic picture has changes much at all. Technically, we are in an intermediate term bear market correction. One that could push the market to yields on the 10 year of 2.75%/2.78% (currently 2.70%). If correct, we should see good support from the 62% Fibonacci level (comes in around 2.75%).

The labor market is not bleeding jobs at this time but the pace of growth needs to pick up to +200k to +300k to represent a change in the unemployment situation in the U.S.

The bottom line is that today’s report does nothing to encourage the markets that employment is in fact improving at a faster pace. It is acknowledged that the labor market is not bleeding jobs at this time but the pace of growth needs to pick up to +200k to +300k to represent a change in the unemployment situation in the U.S.

Let me try to explain what happened yesterday when stocks traveled to the down 1000 point abyss

Before we get into the Employment Report, let me try to explain what happened yesterday when stocks traveled to the down 1000 point abyss. On the NYSE we have circuit breakers, a system that is on individual stocks to slow down trading for 30 to 90 seconds, letting bid and offer imbalances catch up. This makes for a “true valued” market, not one that is lop sided.

Employment report over 250K should give stocks a lift and punish our pricing for about .25 to .50. Anything less than 50K would hold Austin mortgage rates steady and probably put another whippin’ on stocks

Over 250K should give stocks a lift and punish our pricing for about .25 to .50. Anything less than 50K would hold Austin mortgage rates steady and probably put another whippin’ on stocks. With all that is moving markets these days, only the almighty know where we’ll be this time tomorrow. Best bet for borrowers is to lock your interest rate NOW and buckle up! Should be a wild ride.

Mortgage pricing is trying to work its way back from the lows of the early morning trade

Mortgage pricing is trying to work its way back from the lows of the early morning trade. We are not out of the woods yet, although I wouldn’t expect this trade session today to be very volatile facing tomorrow morning’s Employment report. From what we are seeing, the estimates are anywhere’s from 100k to 130k job losses vs the 190k number from the previous report. I am leaning more towards the -110k mark at this point. Expectations are for the unemployment rate to stay at the 10.2% previous month number, as well as avg hourly earnings and avg work week numbers to stay the same as well.