leading economic indicators

We feel that near term price action will focus on further downside (higher Austin mortgage rates/worse pricing) as we have yet to find a bottom

We feel that near term price action will focus on further downside (higher Austin mortgage rates/worse pricing) as we have yet to find a bottom. If there is a ray of hope, it will be that the 10 year note can hold at or below 2.95% (currently 2.93%). Best bet for Texas mortgage borrowers is to stay defensive. Before the market picks your pocket, lock your mortgage loans with the float down option ("option to lower your interest rate one time")!

November 18, 2010|Austin Mortgage Market|

Austin mortgage borrowers are advised to be defensive

Austin mortgage borrowers are advised to be defensive. Stocks will be the key. If they slip, we’ll do better. Overall, QE2 will keep a floor under the market. Just the same, we’ll need to deal with the volatility.

October 21, 2010|Austin Mortgage Market|

Call it neutral/bearish and not a market to throw caution to the wind

Next week will be the true test, one that we would expect will see the market trade sideways to a little better (slightly improving mortgage pricing). Overall, we think this is the low probability trade as QE2, even though it is fully priced in, is a force to be reckoned with. When the Government is the buyer of choice, most follow the ant age, “Don’t fight the Fed.”

October 15, 2010|Austin Mortgage Market|

With Austin mortgage rates/pricing at the best levels of the year and the 10 year note hitting 2010 low yields, the time is right for borrowers to lock in their Austin mortgage rates

With Austin mortgage rates/pricing at the best levels of the year and the 10 year note hitting 2010 low yields, the time is right for borrowers to lock in their Austin mortgage rates. Perfect time for Austin borrowers to use the exclusive float down program offered by Max Leaman at PrimeLending Austin. Call Max at (512) 293-1239.

May 20, 2010|Austin Mortgage Market|

The tactical bias for Austin mortgage rates and pricing is to remain neutral

The tactical bias for Austin mortgage rates and pricing is to remain neutral, trading a range on the 10 year note between 3.75% and 3.82%. Stocks want clarity on the Goldman/SEC issue which will lead bonds to react accordingly. Our work on the 10 year note chart is providing neutral to bullish trend signals and overbought conditions at the same time. Classic example of a mixed bag.

April 19, 2010|Austin Mortgage Market|

Bonds, notes, and mortgage backed securities are doing quite well given the plus 100 point gain on the big board

Bonds, notes, and mortgage backed securities are doing quite well given the plus 100 point gain on the big board. 10 year notes off 7/32’s (yield 3.70%) and MBS off 3/32’s tell the tale of the tape. Technically, a series of higher highs and higher lows are developing on the chart. This is typical of bullish price action and will help to limit the downside (selling).

January 19, 2010|Austin Mortgage Market|

Expecting the market to move much in any direction is possible but probably not in the cards

With trading volume starting to fall off a cliff, expecting the market to move much in any direction is possible but probably not in the cards. Next week will be worse.

December 14, 2009|Austin Mortgage Market|

Austin mortgage rates to stay low well into 2010

Our view that risk is back in vogue, noting gold at record highs and stocks up 60%. Systemic risk/asset bubble risk is creeping back into the market as investors are forced into stocks and fixed income spread product. The Fed is on hold for at least another year and they (Fed) will need to see GDP growth of 4% to 5% before they will tap on the brakes (raise interest rates). We’d look for Austin mortgage rates to stay low well into 2010.

November 19, 2009|Austin Mortgage Market|

Fall in Continuing Claims looks good on the surface but in reality reflects unemployed workers exhausting their 26 week’s worth of benefits

Weekly Unemployment Claims hit the tape plus 11K to 531K, well above the 515K economists had expected. Continuing Claims when the other way, falling 98K to 5.92 million, a level not seen since March 2009. The fall in Continuing Claims looks good on the surface but in reality reflects unemployed workers exhausting their 26 week’s worth of benefits.

October 22, 2009|Austin Mortgage Market|