FOMC

Inside Lending: Austin Mortgage Market Update For the week of October 12, 2009

Austin Mortgage Market Update - At the end of September, the supply of homes for sale was reported down 1.8% from the previous month in 27 major metropolitan areas. We all know the factors. Home prices are very affordable, mortgage rates and very favorable and first-time homebuyers are taking advantage of the $8,000 tax credit set to expire at the end of November, now just seven weeks away. The Mortgage Bankers Association saw loan applications for home purchases rise 13.2% last week, as the MBA's Purchase Index hit its highest level since last January. The average rate on 30-year fixed rate mortgage slid to 4.89% with an average 1.13 points (including the origination fee) for 80% loan-to-value ratio loans to borrowers with good credit. Freddie Mac's weekly survey of conforming mortgage rates put the average 30-year fixed rate mortgage at 4.87% with an average 0.7 point for 80% loan-to-value ratio loans to borrowers with good credit.

October 12, 2009|Inside Lending Newsletter|

FOMC made no mention of an exit strategy, instead talking about keeping Austin mortgage rates low for an extended period of time

With the FOMC dust settled, a couple of points are worth mentioning. First up, the FOMC made no mention of an exit strategy, instead talking about keeping Austin mortgage rates low for an extended period of time. Number two was the statement about continuing the purchase of Treasuries and MBS and extending the period until the end of Q1, allowing for a wind down period. Seems obvious that they are more concerned about housing and the economy versus inflation and deficits. One reason for the accommodative policy may be the building inventory due to future delinquency and foreclosures, estimated to be 7 million units. This is what we call “shadow inventory”, not yet on the books but in the pipeline nonetheless. That number is huge, representing an entire year of sales. We shall see.