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30-year bonds

Home > Posts > Tag: 30-year bonds

Overall, we like the market if for no other reason that investor fear will keep a bid in treasuries which in turn will support mortgage backed securities

Overall, we like the market if for no other reason that investor fear will keep a bid in treasuries which in turn will support mortgage backed securities. Just remember that directional changes can be like playing “crack the whip.” Most probably outcome will be a triangle formation on the 10 year note chart, keeping mortgage pricing in a fairly tight range until the new year.

2009-12-08T16:21:04-06:00December 8, 2009|Austin Mortgage Market|

Mortgage levels are now unchanged from pre-auction levels

16 billion of 30 year bonds changed hands at a yield 4.469%, bid to cover 2.26 to 1 (average 2.45 to 1), indirect bidders took 44% of the paper, and the final yield on a price weighted basis created a 3.5 bps tail (not so hot). Overall, we’ll give this one a C. Fast money traders sold the market post auction but currently, we are making a comeback. Mortgage levels are now unchanged from pre-auction levels with only the 30 year note underwater (down 11/32’s).

2009-11-12T13:34:31-06:00November 12, 2009|Austin Mortgage Market|

In a nut shell, what we have here is too much money chasing too few assets that are worth owning

Weak dollar, higher oil, new high in gold, stocks near unchanged, and bonds doing a little better. We’re feeling a bit like Bill Murray in “Groundhog Day”. Same trade just a new day. One memorable line from the movie; (Phil) Do you know what today is? (Rita) No, what? (Phil) Today is tomorrow. It happened. In a nut shell, what we have here is too much money chasing too few assets that are worth owning. Throw in a mixed bag of economic data and a seasonal supportive 4th quarter (for fixed income), it’s hard to see much of a change in Austin mortgage rates into year end.

2009-10-07T16:33:20-05:00October 7, 2009|Austin Mortgage Market|

Earlier today, Consumer Income hit the skids, falling 1.3% while Spending rose .4%. The Income component was the largest monthly decline since January 2005. Pure and simple, it reflects declining wage and salary disbursements.

From our technical view, the chart looks more like “crack the whip” than any type of symmetrical trading. Last Friday caught a bid from month end buying (portfolio extension needs), Monday gave it all back as stocks traded and closed above 1000 on the S & P chart, and today’s rally has been derailed by Pending Home Sales.

2009-08-04T18:33:56-05:00August 4, 2009|Austin Mortgage Market|