regional unemployment rates

Although the market has done better today, the reflex rally has yet to do anything impressive. Typically this leads to a neutral, inside day with the pattern not strong enough to overtake the bearish sentiment of the past two days. Usually, this type of short term bottom leads to a period of stalls and allows the moving averages to “catch up” to the market. We expect that with month end buying, the market could make a run for 3.83% yield on the 10 year note (currently at 3.86%) before rolling over and retesting the bottom ( heading back to 3.93%).