mortgage market

Mortgage companies and loan officers telling borrowers and REALTORS they have guaranteed USDA money is plain and simple not true

Let me set the record straight on the availability of USDA funds. First of all, USDA has NOT been reallocated and will run out of money soon. Locking in a loan does NOT guarantee a borrower will receive USDA money. Mortgage companies and loan officers telling borrowers and REALTORS that THEY have guaranteed USDA money is plain and simple not true. The only way to guarantee a loan from USDA is to have USDA approve the loan and issue the certificate.

April 14, 2010|Austin Mortgage Market|

A price change for the worse (back to this morning’s levels) is in play

A price change for the worse (back to this morning’s levels) is in play. Wicked and volatile are the markets these days.

February 5, 2010|Austin Mortgage Market|

As predicted, Friday’s bearish close, along with this week’s record 137 billion in treasury auction supply has kept the market under pressure as we begin a new week

As predicted, Friday’s bearish close, along with this week’s record 137 billion in treasury auction supply has kept the market under pressure as we begin a new week. 7 billion in 5 year tips will greet the screen today, followed by 44 billion of 2 year notes on Tuesday, 41 billion of 5 year notes on Wednesday, and 31 billion of 7 year notes on Thursday. This could give the market a bit of indigestion. Traders talk about “no shows at the lows”, meaning that buyers will not show up even at cheaper levels. We believe that a strong overseas bid will continue and with most of paper being shorter in duration, the auctions “should” be much ado about nothing.

October 26, 2009|Austin Mortgage Market|

By nature the pattern is bearish and suggests higher interest rates, worsening Austin mortgage pricing presents the higher probability

Market action, as I mentioned earlier has been a two way street. With earning season (stocks) in full swing, volatility has really picked up in both equities and bonds. Mortgage backs have been the worst performer on the day with spreads to treasuries widening as sellers continue to lean on the market. Currently, the 10 year note is off 7/32’s (yield 3.45%), MBS off 9/32’s, and stocks off only 1 point on the big board. Technically, we are trading a lower lows, lower highs type of pattern. By nature it is bearish and suggests higher interest rates, worsening Austin mortgage pricing present the higher probability. We will want to pay close attention the 10 year yield as it approaches 3.48% - 3.50%. That level is key support and “should” provide a near term bottom, followed by a rebound. If that level does not hold, MBS could feel another ½ point of pain. Play defense as the trend is not your friend!

October 15, 2009|Austin Mortgage Market|

We see the trade as continuing to be range bound

Technically, the weakness overnight traded to the low end of the range before boot strapping itself up this morning. We see the trade as continuing to be range bound, bracketed by 3.52% on the high yield side (10 year note) and 3.42% on the low side. Any move outside of these parameters will move the market for at least 1 point and a good ½ point in Austin mortgage pricing. Month end supply (112 billion) and a spooky FOMC policy statement sideswipe tilt our bias.

September 22, 2009|Austin Mortgage Market|