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Market

Home > Posts > Tag: Market

Stocks will hold the key as to where Austin mortgage rates go next

Currently, the 10 year note is down 20/32’s (yield 3.49%), MBS down 6/32’s, and stocks up 75 points on the big board. Stocks will hold the key as to where Austin mortgage rates go next. The current pattern (stocks) has been for sellers to lean on the market when it rallies (5 out of the last 7 days). We will want to watch the late afternoon trade (from 2:00 to 3:00 cst) to see if they can hold today’s gains. Failure to do so will improve mortgage pricing while a positive close, especially 50 points or more, will put additional pressure on our stuff.

2009-10-29T13:02:22-05:00October 29, 2009|Austin Mortgage Market|

While a number of Fed Governors are pounding the rate rising drum, the policy statement continues to favor low rate, easy money well into 2010

While a number of Fed Governors are pounding the rate rising drum, the policy statement continues to favor low rate, easy money well into 2010. What they would like to do is communicate an upcoming transition period. One that would produce a soft landing instead of going cold turkey. With their focus on employment and inflation, it would seem that rates will remain low until the unemployment picture stabilizes and then starts to improve.

2009-10-24T05:04:19-05:00October 24, 2009|Austin Mortgage Market|

With both the ISM manufacturing index and the non-farm payroll employment report due out tomorrow; the market is cautiously watching

With both the ISM manufacturing index and the non-farm payroll employment report due out tomorrow; the market is cautiously watching. The Dow is down 140, and Bonds are up across the entire curve. The 10 year is up 22/32s and the 30 Year Bond is up more than point. The RSI (Relative Strength Index) on the 60 minute chart is at 87, well into the red!

2009-10-01T18:39:55-05:00October 1, 2009|Austin Mortgage Market|

We see the trade as continuing to be range bound

Technically, the weakness overnight traded to the low end of the range before boot strapping itself up this morning. We see the trade as continuing to be range bound, bracketed by 3.52% on the high yield side (10 year note) and 3.42% on the low side. Any move outside of these parameters will move the market for at least 1 point and a good ½ point in Austin mortgage pricing. Month end supply (112 billion) and a spooky FOMC policy statement sideswipe tilt our bias.

2009-09-22T18:44:21-05:00September 22, 2009|Austin Mortgage Market|