FHFA Home Price Index

Austin Mortgage Market Update – For the week of July 19, 2010

Some analysts feel the homebuyer tax credits artificially boosted the housing market by pushing forward home sales that would have happened later. Others feel most buyers would have bought anyway. In any case, there's now concern about a coming drop in sales. Well, June sales figures should still benefit from activity spurred on by the tax credits. And tax credit sales should even help monthly reports through September, now that buyers in contract on April 30 have been given until September 30 to close.

July 19, 2010|Inside Lending Newsletter|

Austin Mortgage Market Update – For the week of July 5, 2010

Last Thursday pending home sales, a measure of contracts signed for existing homes, were reported off 30% in May compared to the prior month. This of course was simply the result of the end of the homebuyer tax credit, which required a signed contract by April 30. Common sense tells us many of those April contracts would have happened in May or even later if it weren't for the pressure to qualify for the tax credit.

July 6, 2010|Inside Lending Newsletter|

Austin Mortgage Market Update – For the week of June 28, 2010

Last week May existing home sales came in UP 19.2% over a year ago. Nonetheless, after beating expectations three months in a row, monthly sales fell short of the gain expected, off 2.2%. But the months' supply of existing homes dropped from 8.4 to 8.3 months, as inventory slid to 3.89 million homes. And the median price is rebounding, UP 2.7% over last year. Finally, the April FHFA home price index was UP 0.8% for homes financed with conforming mortgages.

June 28, 2010|Inside Lending Newsletter|

Worries about European banks, UK austerity measures, US Housing, and the beginning of a two day FOMC meeting are all on today’s marquee

Worries about European banks, UK austerity measures, US Housing, and the beginning of a two day FOMC meeting are all on today’s marquee. Stress tests and downgrades on banks across the pond got the early morning trade going.

June 22, 2010|Austin Mortgage Market|

Fall in Continuing Claims looks good on the surface but in reality reflects unemployed workers exhausting their 26 week’s worth of benefits

Weekly Unemployment Claims hit the tape plus 11K to 531K, well above the 515K economists had expected. Continuing Claims when the other way, falling 98K to 5.92 million, a level not seen since March 2009. The fall in Continuing Claims looks good on the surface but in reality reflects unemployed workers exhausting their 26 week’s worth of benefits.

October 22, 2009|Austin Mortgage Market|

We see the trade as continuing to be range bound

Technically, the weakness overnight traded to the low end of the range before boot strapping itself up this morning. We see the trade as continuing to be range bound, bracketed by 3.52% on the high yield side (10 year note) and 3.42% on the low side. Any move outside of these parameters will move the market for at least 1 point and a good ½ point in Austin mortgage pricing. Month end supply (112 billion) and a spooky FOMC policy statement sideswipe tilt our bias.

September 22, 2009|Austin Mortgage Market|

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