bonds

A tug of war for Austin mortgage interest rates seems in the cards

Austin mortgage rates and pricing can go one way or the other in short order but most likely hold steady at current levels. Best to stay on defense as stocks certainly look better, Europe looks better, and the Federal Reserve Chairman hints of Fed Funds rate hikes sooner than later. Personally, we like the chart (better chance of lower Austin mortgage rates/better pricing) but the fundamentals (economic data) points to a steady recovery. A tug of war for Austin mortgage interest rates seems in the cards.

May 10, 2010|Austin Mortgage Market|

Let me try to explain what happened yesterday when stocks traveled to the down 1000 point abyss

Before we get into the Employment Report, let me try to explain what happened yesterday when stocks traveled to the down 1000 point abyss. On the NYSE we have circuit breakers, a system that is on individual stocks to slow down trading for 30 to 90 seconds, letting bid and offer imbalances catch up. This makes for a “true valued” market, not one that is lop sided.

May 7, 2010|Austin Mortgage Market|

Employment report over 250K should give stocks a lift and punish our pricing for about .25 to .50. Anything less than 50K would hold Austin mortgage rates steady and probably put another whippin’ on stocks

Over 250K should give stocks a lift and punish our pricing for about .25 to .50. Anything less than 50K would hold Austin mortgage rates steady and probably put another whippin’ on stocks. With all that is moving markets these days, only the almighty know where we’ll be this time tomorrow. Best bet for borrowers is to lock your interest rate NOW and buckle up! Should be a wild ride.

May 6, 2010|Austin Mortgage Market|

Euro-zone/IMF approved 110 billion in aid to bail out Greece – rally-maker for stocks & pressured bonds, notes, and mortgage backs

The Euro-zone/IMF approved 110 billion in aid to bail out Greece. Germany’s cabinet approved the draft, allowing them to contribute to the fund as well. The weekend news has been a rally maker for stocks and at the same time, pressured bonds, notes and mortgage backs right out of the gate.

May 3, 2010|Austin Mortgage Market|

The FOMC kept the short term Fed Funds rate unchanged (between 0% and .25%) with a 9 to 1 vote

The FOMC kept the short term Fed Funds rate unchanged (between 0% and .25%) with a 9 to 1 vote. They also commented that economic conditions warrant exceptionally low levels of the Fed Funds rate for an extended period. Kansas City Fed President Thomas Hoenig was the lone dissenter, citing against the policy believing that a repeated expectation could lead to the buildup of “financial imbalances” and run the risk of macroeconomic and financial instability.

April 28, 2010|Austin Mortgage Market|

Bonds, notes and mortgage backs caught their fall and reversed course, now trading at the day’s best levels

Just when it looked like we may slip into the afternoon, stocks turned tail and ran, now down over 200 points with 4 minutes to trade. Bonds, notes and mortgage backs caught their fall and reversed course, now trading at the day’s best levels.

April 27, 2010|Austin Mortgage Market|

Seems like a good day to take advantage of the best Austin mortgage pricing in quite some time

Technically, the stealth rally has taken us to major resistance, right at the low yield mark of 3.67%. A break and close below 3.67% is needed to confirm the upside move and project that further gains (lower yields better mortgage pricing) is in the cards. With most oscillators now neutral to bullish, the only fly in the ointment is growing overbought conditions on the chart. Seems like a good day to take advantage of the best Austin mortgage pricing in quite some time.

April 27, 2010|Austin Mortgage Market|

No news today but Greece once again is in the headlines

No news today but Greece once again is in the headlines. Rates on their 2 year note were over 13% this morning. Bonds, notes, and mortgage backs all opened to the plus side with current coupon MBS up 6/32’s. Just a heads up as they are starting to slip, currently up only 2/32’s. Worsening Austin mortgage price change is at hand.

April 26, 2010|Austin Mortgage Market|

New Home Sales gains also smell of the last mad rush for 8K in buyers credit money before we put that program to bed the end of next week

New Home Sales were also released, up 26.9% to 411K annual units. The print blew away economists estimates of plus 330K. Every region of the country rebounded with the “South rising again”, up 43% month on month. Although the numbers were great, they are coming off the worst month (February) in 22 years. The gains also smell of the last mad rush for 8K in buyers credit money before we put that program to bed the end of next week.

April 23, 2010|Austin Mortgage Market|

The tactical bias for Austin mortgage rates and pricing is to remain neutral

The tactical bias for Austin mortgage rates and pricing is to remain neutral, trading a range on the 10 year note between 3.75% and 3.82%. Stocks want clarity on the Goldman/SEC issue which will lead bonds to react accordingly. Our work on the 10 year note chart is providing neutral to bullish trend signals and overbought conditions at the same time. Classic example of a mixed bag.

April 19, 2010|Austin Mortgage Market|

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