Auction Update: 7-yr note auction draws 1.890%. Sees a 3.04 bid to cover (10-auction average of 2.84) and indirect bidders taking down 50.2%. Best bid to cover since 7-yr was brought back in Q1 2009. Pretty solid auction -Treasuries and mortgages are regaining some of the ground lost during the morning trading.
In what looks to be a repeat of yesterday, stocks [...]
32 billion of the odd ball Treasury just hit the tape to yield 3.374% with 41.9% taken by Indirect Bidders. Stateside account took only 8.1% with the bid to cover 2.61 to 1. The issue created a .4 bps tail, just like the 5 year. The “Street” have given this one a grade of D. Post auction, selling tanked the market for another ½ point in the 30 year bond. With mortgage backs off a smooth 17/32’s, there is no place to hide. Buckle up and stay defensive until the shootin’ stops!
The morning after continues towards the path of least resistance, that being higher yields and worsening Austin mortgage pricing. Certainly the economic fundamentals of a recovering economy, continiously evolving fiscal policy which we feel is more borrowing and less monetary stimulus, and a reluctance of our foreign partners to take on our debt/risk are the heavy weights in this move to higher yields.
As we head into the last half hour of trading, price action has been a one-way affair and looking to close at the worst levels of the day. Mortgage backs are now off over 1 point as the 10 year note trades a 3.85% yield (down 43/32’s). Just for good measure, the 30 year bond is off over 3 points. This has been one of the more dramatic down drafts we’ve seen in some time, reminding us of just how powerful and heartless the market can be.
Today's Austin mortgage rates: the market trades well but your risk reward is starting to dwindle. Given the stiff resistance overhead, best to use the improved mortgage levels. Take advantage.
The best the market can hope for (short term) is to stabilize at current levels given all the uncertainty in stocks and global assets. Good idea to stay defensive and see how the next day and a half play out.
This one had the tail of a German Shepherd (2.3 bps) versus that of a Rottweiler, adding to the lack of interest. Both the 10 year and MBS took it on the nose post auction. At one time, the note was down 1 point and MBS off 10/32’s. Watch stocks, any close up 100 plus will keep the heat on MBS.
Currently, the 10 year note is down 1/32nd (yield 3.45%), [...]
