Unemployment claims

We feel that near term price action will focus on further downside (higher Austin mortgage rates/worse pricing) as we have yet to find a bottom

We feel that near term price action will focus on further downside (higher Austin mortgage rates/worse pricing) as we have yet to find a bottom. If there is a ray of hope, it will be that the 10 year note can hold at or below 2.95% (currently 2.93%). Best bet for Texas mortgage borrowers is to stay defensive. Before the market picks your pocket, lock your mortgage loans with the float down option ("option to lower your interest rate one time")!

November 18, 2010|Austin Mortgage Market|

Using one standard deviation and a dart board, our bias is for 100k in job losses and a 9.9% unemployment rate

Using one standard deviation and a dart board, our bias is for 100k in job losses and a 9.9% unemployment rate. JPMorgan has the call at minus 90K and 9.9%, Barclays at Minus 75K and 9.8%, Wells Fargo at minus 80k and 9.7%, and Credit Suisse the outlier at minus 125K and 9.9%.

March 4, 2010|Austin Mortgage Market|

Today’s Austin mortgage rates: the market trades well but your risk reward is starting to dwindle

Today's Austin mortgage rates: the market trades well but your risk reward is starting to dwindle. Given the stiff resistance overhead, best to use the improved mortgage levels. Take advantage.

February 25, 2010|Austin Mortgage Market|

Earlier today, Consumer Income hit the skids, falling 1.3% while Spending rose .4%. The Income component was the largest monthly decline since January 2005. Pure and simple, it reflects declining wage and salary disbursements.

From our technical view, the chart looks more like “crack the whip” than any type of symmetrical trading. Last Friday caught a bid from month end buying (portfolio extension needs), Monday gave it all back as stocks traded and closed above 1000 on the S & P chart, and today’s rally has been derailed by Pending Home Sales.