Best bet for Austin mortgage borrowers is to take a defensive posture. With so much bond-friendly news priced in, the risk reward for better mortgage pricing is just not there, folks.
Stock market strength has pressured bonds, notes, and mortgage backs as we head towards the close. With the Dow up 96 points trading well over 11,000 and S & P’s over the 1200 level (which was good resistance and very psychological), the path of least resistance is for additional improvement. JPMorgan gave stocks the boost from the get go, beating earnings expectations by 10 cents and saying all the right things about credit quality improving etc. The 10 year note opened in the red but by only a few 32’s, holding onto the breakout level below 3.83% yield on the 10 year note.
Since stocks are the game today, let’s talk the equities and your 401K. 10% plus unemployment and a weak U.S. dollar are ok short term but stock bearish in the long run. With this in mind, we still have the Fed and it’s never ending easy money program, very low inflation, and market risk that will support the bond/MBS market well into 2010. Blue chip, high quality companies are the only way to go in today’s stock market. As for mortgage pricing, it’s “steady as she goes ” into the new year.
Just hit the wire, the new stimulus plan has just [...]