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Austin Mortgage Market Update – For the week of May 3, 2010

Last Tuesday's S&P Case-Shiller home price index reported that homes in 20 major U.S. cities were WORTH MORE in February 2010 than they were in February 2009 -- the first year-to-year INCREASE in values in over three years! The good news of this 0.6% annual gain was tempered by a small monthly decline in prices from January to February. But remember, February's unusually stormy weather make it a tough month for real estate in much of the country. ??Corroborating Case-Shiller, a second home price index also showed a national gain in home prices for February 2010 compared to February 2009. This was the First American CoreLogic HPI, an index including distressed sales, which reported a home price increase of 0.3% for the year.

No news today but Greece once again is in the headlines

No news today but Greece once again is in the headlines. Rates on their 2 year note were over 13% this morning. Bonds, notes, and mortgage backs all opened to the plus side with current coupon MBS up 6/32’s. Just a heads up as they are starting to slip, currently up only 2/32’s. Worsening Austin mortgage price change is at hand.

The tactical bias for Austin mortgage rates and pricing is to remain neutral

The tactical bias for Austin mortgage rates and pricing is to remain neutral, trading a range on the 10 year note between 3.75% and 3.82%. Stocks want clarity on the Goldman/SEC issue which will lead bonds to react accordingly. Our work on the 10 year note chart is providing neutral to bullish trend signals and overbought conditions at the same time. Classic example of a mixed bag.