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USDA Rural Housing program will operate under Continuing Resolution authorization until the Agricultural Appropriations budget is finalized

At the start of the new fiscal year(tomorrow), it appears the USDA Rural Housing program will operate under Continuing Resolution authorization until the Agricultural Appropriations budget is finalized. This frequently happens at the start of the new fiscal year when the House and Senate don't finalize the budget prior to year end.

Since stocks are the game today, let’s talk the equities and your 401K

Since stocks are the game today, let’s talk the equities and your 401K. 10% plus unemployment and a weak U.S. dollar are ok short term but stock bearish in the long run. With this in mind, we still have the Fed and it’s never ending easy money program, very low inflation, and market risk that will support the bond/MBS market well into 2010. Blue chip, high quality companies are the only way to go in today’s stock market. As for mortgage pricing, it’s “steady as she goes ” into the new year.

By nature the pattern is bearish and suggests higher interest rates, worsening Austin mortgage pricing presents the higher probability

Market action, as I mentioned earlier has been a two way street. With earning season (stocks) in full swing, volatility has really picked up in both equities and bonds. Mortgage backs have been the worst performer on the day with spreads to treasuries widening as sellers continue to lean on the market. Currently, the 10 year note is off 7/32’s (yield 3.45%), MBS off 9/32’s, and stocks off only 1 point on the big board. Technically, we are trading a lower lows, lower highs type of pattern. By nature it is bearish and suggests higher interest rates, worsening Austin mortgage pricing present the higher probability. We will want to pay close attention the 10 year yield as it approaches 3.48% - 3.50%. That level is key support and “should” provide a near term bottom, followed by a rebound. If that level does not hold, MBS could feel another ½ point of pain. Play defense as the trend is not your friend!